Leaderboard · Calibrated track record
Spotted it first.
Ranked by how often a Predictor's Picks foreshadow the claim event (Ingested → Externally-Managed) within a 90-day window. Weighted Brier score; lower is better, scaled to a 0–100 calibration band.
Account 30–180 days old.
No Predictors here yet · your move
Make your first call.
Pick a startup before it gets claimed. Picks resolve after the 90-day window: accurate calls move you up the board, sloppy ones drop you. 10 resolved Picks puts you on the leaderboard.
↓ What a Predictor row looks like
MethodologyBrier-calibrated track record across resolved Picks
Per-Pick Brier contribution w · (forecast − outcome)² averaged over resolved Picks, then inverted and rescaled to a 0–100 calibration band. Earlier Picks and Picks against harder priors weigh more (ADR-0008).